Final Score: Phillies 4 - Marlins 6
Thursday, September 25, 2014 at 4:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
72-86 Rating 1475
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.1
Marlins
75-82 Rating 1459
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 198 160
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.0 4.4
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 158 157
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.2
Win percentage 46% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 51%