Final Score: Pirates 4 - Phillies 3
Monday, May 11, 2015 at 7:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
15-16 Rating 1518
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.4
Phillies
11-21 Rating 1460
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Phillies
All-time wins 308 285
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Phillies
Games played 31 32
Avg runs scored 3.8 2.8
Avg runs conceded 3.4 4.7
Win percentage 48% 34%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 47%