Final Score: Pirates 7 - Phillies 2
Tuesday, May 12, 2015 at 7:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
16-16 Rating 1520
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.4
Phillies
11-22 Rating 1458
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Phillies
All-time wins 309 285
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Phillies
Games played 32 33
Avg runs scored 3.8 2.8
Avg runs conceded 3.4 4.7
Win percentage 50% 33%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 44%