Final Score: Blue Jays 3 - Red Sox 5
Friday, September 30, 2016 at 7:10 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
87-72 Rating 1541
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.2
Red Sox
92-67 Rating 1542
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
All-time wins 270 324
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.7 5.0
Last meeting 8 11

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
Games played 159 159
Avg runs scored 4.7 5.5
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.3
Win percentage 55% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 59%