Final Score: Blue Jays 4 - Red Sox 3
Saturday, October 1, 2016 at 7:10 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
87-73 Rating 1539
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.3
Red Sox
93-67 Rating 1544
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
All-time wins 270 325
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.7 5.0
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 4.7 5.5
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.3
Win percentage 54% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 59%