Final Score: Red Sox 4 - Phillies 3
Saturday, May 22, 2021 at 7:15 PM ET

Red Sox @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
28-18 Rating 1527
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.2
Phillies
22-23 Rating 1482
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Phillies
All-time wins 46 30
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.5 4.2
Last meeting 11 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Phillies
Games played 46 45
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.4
Win percentage 61% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 71% 61%