Final Score: Red Sox 2 - Orioles 4
Tuesday, September 28, 2021 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
88-68 Rating 1535
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
63%
37%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +1.1
Orioles
50-106 Rating 1391
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Orioles
All-time wins 456 362
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 5.0 4.4
Last meeting 8 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Orioles
Games played 156 156
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.7 5.9
Win percentage 56% 32%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 32%