Final Score: Red Sox 4 - Padres 2
Saturday, May 20, 2023 at 10:10 PM ET

Red Sox @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
25-20 Rating 1518
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.1
Padres
20-25 Rating 1503
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Padres
All-time wins 15 7
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 2.6
Last meeting 6 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Padres
Games played 45 45
Avg runs scored 5.6 3.8
Avg runs conceded 5.2 4.1
Win percentage 56% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 44%