Final Score: Marlins 7 - Pirates 3
Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 6:35 PM ET

Marlins @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
83-77 Rating 1486
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.1
Pirates
75-85 Rating 1451
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Pirates
All-time wins 103 116
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.0 4.3
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Pirates
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.9
Win percentage 52% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 48%