Final Score: Tigers 5 - Astros 8
Monday, April 28, 2025 at 8:10 PM ET

Tigers @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Tigers
18-10 Rating 1521
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.4
Astros
14-13 Rating 1539
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Tigers Astros
All-time wins 40 50
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.4
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Tigers Astros
Games played 28 27
Avg runs scored 4.6 3.7
Avg runs conceded 3.1 3.3
Win percentage 64% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 60%