Final Score: Marlins 2 - Cubs 5
Monday, May 12, 2025 at 7:40 PM ET

Marlins @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
15-24 Rating 1445
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +1.0
Cubs
23-18 Rating 1517
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Cubs
All-time wins 118 122
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.7
Last meeting 7 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Cubs
Games played 39 41
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.7
Avg runs conceded 6.0 4.5
Win percentage 38% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 53%