Final Score: Cubs 2 - Mets 6
Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 12:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
23-17 Rating 1519
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.5
Mets
25-15 Rating 1542
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Mets
All-time wins 327 325
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.4
Last meeting 6 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Mets
Games played 40 40
Avg runs scored 5.8 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.2
Win percentage 57% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 78%