Final Score: Mets 11 - Phillies 4
Saturday, June 21, 2025 at 7:15 PM ET
Mets @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mets | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 490 | 472 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 10 |
| Stat | Mets | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 76 | 76 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.7 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.6 | 4.2 |
| Win percentage | 59% | 61% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 66% |
Recent Results
Mets
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 20, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
@ Atlanta Braves
Jun 19, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
@ Atlanta Braves
Jun 18, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ Atlanta Braves
Jun 17, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 15, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 9
0-9
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 14, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Jun 13, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
vs Washington Nationals
Jun 12, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Washington Nationals
Jun 11, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
vs Washington Nationals
Jun 10, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
Phillies
vs New York Mets
Jun 20, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
@ Miami Marlins
Jun 19, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Miami Marlins
Jun 18, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Miami Marlins
Jun 17, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
@ Miami Marlins
Jun 16, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 15, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 15
11-4
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 14, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 13, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0
vs Chicago Cubs
Jun 11, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Chicago Cubs
Jun 10, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8