Final Score: Padres 1 - Phillies 5
Wednesday, July 2, 2025 at 6:15 PM ET
Padres @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Padres | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 228 | 294 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 4 |
| Stat | Padres | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 85 | 86 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.1 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 54% | 58% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 64% |
Recent Results
Padres
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Jun 30, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jun 29, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jun 28, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jun 27, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
vs Washington Nationals
Jun 25, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Washington Nationals
Jun 24, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Washington Nationals
Jun 23, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 16
6-10
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 22, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Kansas City Royals
Jun 21, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
Phillies
vs San Diego Padres
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs San Diego Padres
Jun 30, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Atlanta Braves
Jun 29, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Atlanta Braves
Jun 28, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Atlanta Braves
Jun 27, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 13
13-0
@ Houston Astros
Jun 26, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Houston Astros
Jun 25, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Houston Astros
Jun 24, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs New York Mets
Jun 22, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
vs New York Mets
Jun 21, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 15
4-11