Final Score: Yankees 6 - Mets 12
Saturday, July 5, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET
Yankees @ Mets
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Yankees | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 86 | 69 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 6 |
| Stat | Yankees | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 88 | 89 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.1 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.0 | 3.9 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 57% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 49% | 71% |
Recent Results
Yankees
@ New York Mets
Jul 4, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 3, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 20
9-11
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 1, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 17
5-12
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 30, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Athletics
Jun 29, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 17
12-5
vs Athletics
Jun 28, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
vs Athletics
Jun 27, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jun 25, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jun 24, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
Mets
vs New York Yankees
Jul 4, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 3, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 29, 2025 · Margin: -11 · Total: 13
1-12
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 28, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 27, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 10
1-9
vs Atlanta Braves
Jun 26, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Atlanta Braves
Jun 25, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Atlanta Braves
Jun 24, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7