Final Score: Yankees 6 - Mets 4
Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 1:40 PM ET

Yankees @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
48-41 Rating 1536
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.3
Mets
52-38 Rating 1539
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Mets
All-time wins 86 70
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 6 12

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Mets
Games played 89 90
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.1 3.9
Win percentage 54% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 72%