Final Score: Mariners 7 - Astros 3
Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET
Mariners @ Astros
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mariners | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 96 | 135 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 3.9 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 4 |
| Stat | Mariners | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 155 | 155 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.7 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 48% | 57% |
Recent Results
Mariners
@ Houston Astros
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Houston Astros
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
@ Kansas City Royals
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 17
12-5
vs Los Angeles Angels
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 13
11-2
vs Los Angeles Angels
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Los Angeles Angels
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Los Angeles Angels
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
Astros
vs Seattle Mariners
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
vs Seattle Mariners
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Texas Rangers
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Texas Rangers
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Texas Rangers
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 14
11-3
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2