Final Score: Rangers 1 - Astros 4
Saturday, May 16, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET
Rangers @ Astros
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Rangers | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 150 | 150 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.8 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 0 | 2 |
| Stat | Rangers | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 44 | 46 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.7 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.7 | 5.5 |
| Win percentage | 48% | 39% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 43% | 46% |
Recent Results
Rangers
@ Houston Astros
May 15, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
May 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
May 12, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
May 11, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Chicago Cubs
May 10, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Chicago Cubs
May 9, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
vs Chicago Cubs
May 8, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
@ New York Yankees
May 7, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
@ New York Yankees
May 6, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ New York Yankees
May 5, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
Astros
vs Texas Rangers
May 15, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Seattle Mariners
May 14, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
vs Seattle Mariners
May 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Seattle Mariners
May 12, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
vs Seattle Mariners
May 11, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Cincinnati Reds
May 10, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ Cincinnati Reds
May 9, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Cincinnati Reds
May 8, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 10
10-0
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
May 6, 2026 · Margin: -10 · Total: 14
2-12
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
May 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1