Final Score: Astros 3 - Cubs 0
Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET

Astros @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
21-31 Rating 1502
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Cubs
29-22 Rating 1534
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Cubs
All-time wins 318 280
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Cubs
Games played 52 51
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.9
Avg runs conceded 5.3 4.4
Win percentage 40% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 35% 67%