Final Score: Astros 5 - Rangers 1
Thursday, May 28, 2026 at 8:05 PM ET

Astros @ Rangers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
25-32 Rating 1508
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Texas Rangers +0.0
Rangers
25-30 Rating 1490
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Rangers
All-time wins 153 152
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.8
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Rangers
Games played 57 55
Avg runs scored 4.4 3.9
Avg runs conceded 5.2 3.9
Win percentage 44% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 50%