Final Score: Heat 107 - Thunder 103
Wednesday, January 10, 2007 at 7:00 PM ET

Heat @ Thunder

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Heat
14-19 Rating 1431
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Oklahoma City Thunder +2.7
Thunder
13-24 Rating 1358
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Thunder
All-time wins 12 25
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 94.7 101.6
Last meeting 90 87

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Thunder
Games played 33 37
Avg points scored 93.0 99.1
Avg points conceded 98.7 102.1
Win percentage 42% 35%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 53%