Final Score: Warriors 88 - Heat 96
Tuesday, December 23, 2008 at 7:00 PM ET

Warriors @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Warriors
8-21 Rating 1357
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Miami Heat +4.3
Heat
14-12 Rating 1365
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Warriors Heat
All-time wins 21 20
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 105.6 103.7
Last meeting 129 130

Key Season Stats

Stat Warriors Heat
Games played 29 26
Avg points scored 105.5 96.9
Avg points conceded 111.9 97.1
Win percentage 28% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 22% 62%