Final Score: Spurs 91 - Heat 84
Monday, January 5, 2009 at 7:00 PM ET

Spurs @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Spurs
22-11 Rating 1689
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
62%
38%
Projected margin: San Antonio Spurs +1.5
Heat
18-14 Rating 1443
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Spurs Heat
All-time wins 30 13
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 95.9 90.4
Last meeting 83 99

Key Season Stats

Stat Spurs Heat
Games played 33 32
Avg points scored 97.1 96.0
Avg points conceded 93.8 95.6
Win percentage 67% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 64% 71%