Final Score: Mavericks 111 - Heat 96
Saturday, January 31, 2009 at 7:00 PM ET

Mavericks @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mavericks
26-19 Rating 1567
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Miami Heat +2.8
Heat
25-20 Rating 1497
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mavericks Heat
All-time wins 25 24
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 98.2 98.6
Last meeting 98 73

Key Season Stats

Stat Mavericks Heat
Games played 45 45
Avg points scored 100.2 96.6
Avg points conceded 99.2 96.1
Win percentage 58% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 68%