Final Score: Heat 104 - Thunder 94
Sunday, January 18, 2009 at 7:00 PM ET

Heat @ Thunder

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Heat
21-18 Rating 1453
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
61%
39%
Projected margin: Miami Heat +0.9
Thunder
8-33 Rating 1225
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Thunder
All-time wins 15 26
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 95.4 101.4
Last meeting 105 99

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Thunder
Games played 39 41
Avg points scored 96.5 95.4
Avg points conceded 96.7 102.3
Win percentage 54% 20%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 27%