Final Score: Heat 78 - Hawks 91
Sunday, May 3, 2009 at 7:00 PM ET

Heat @ Hawks

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Heat
46-42 Rating 1542
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Atlanta Hawks +4.3
Hawks
50-38 Rating 1552
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Hawks
All-time wins 47 43
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 95.7 94.3
Last meeting 98 72

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Hawks
Games played 88 88
Avg points scored 97.7 97.3
Avg points conceded 97.3 96.1
Win percentage 52% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 75%