Final Score: Heat 78 - Spurs 108
Thursday, December 31, 2009 at 7:00 PM ET

Heat @ Spurs

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Heat
16-13 Rating 1522
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
26%
74%
Projected margin: San Antonio Spurs +6.4
Spurs
18-11 Rating 1649
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Spurs
All-time wins 13 31
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 90.2 95.8
Last meeting 84 91

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Spurs
Games played 29 29
Avg points scored 97.4 102.2
Avg points conceded 96.0 96.7
Win percentage 55% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 72%