Final Score: Heat 108 - Thunder 103
Sunday, January 30, 2011 at 7:00 PM ET

Heat @ Thunder

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Heat
32-14 Rating 1745
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Oklahoma City Thunder +1.4
Thunder
30-16 Rating 1641
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Thunder
All-time wins 16 28
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 95.1 101.1
Last meeting 80 98

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Thunder
Games played 46 46
Avg points scored 101.2 104.2
Avg points conceded 93.8 102.6
Win percentage 70% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 74%