Final Score: Spurs 80 - Heat 110
Monday, March 14, 2011 at 7:00 PM ET

Spurs @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Spurs
54-12 Rating 1807
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Miami Heat +2.8
Heat
45-21 Rating 1739
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Spurs Heat
All-time wins 34 13
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 96.5 89.8
Last meeting 125 95

Key Season Stats

Stat Spurs Heat
Games played 66 66
Avg points scored 103.8 101.6
Avg points conceded 97.0 94.7
Win percentage 82% 68%
Away win % / Home win % 72% 73%