Final Score: Thunder 96 - Heat 85
Wednesday, March 16, 2011 at 7:00 PM ET

Thunder @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Thunder
43-23 Rating 1693
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
30%
70%
Projected margin: Miami Heat +6.0
Heat
46-21 Rating 1769
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Thunder Heat
All-time wins 28 17
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 101.2 95.4
Last meeting 103 108

Key Season Stats

Stat Thunder Heat
Games played 66 67
Avg points scored 104.8 101.7
Avg points conceded 101.7 94.5
Win percentage 65% 69%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 74%