Final Score: Heat 83 - Mavericks 86
Tuesday, June 7, 2011 at 7:00 PM ET

Heat @ Mavericks

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Heat
72-28 Rating 1905
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Dallas Mavericks +3.1
Mavericks
70-30 Rating 1877
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Mavericks
All-time wins 26 32
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 97.8 98.2
Last meeting 88 86

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Mavericks
Games played 100 100
Avg points scored 100.4 99.8
Avg points conceded 93.5 95.3
Win percentage 72% 70%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 72%