Final Score: Thunder 103 - Mavericks 97
Saturday, May 5, 2012 at 7:00 PM ET

Thunder @ Mavericks

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Thunder
50-19 Rating 1796
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
63%
37%
Projected margin: Oklahoma City Thunder +1.6
Mavericks
36-33 Rating 1542
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Thunder Mavericks
All-time wins 76 73
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average points 103.2 102.1
Last meeting 95 79

Key Season Stats

Stat Thunder Mavericks
Games played 69 69
Avg points scored 102.9 95.6
Avg points conceded 96.7 95.0
Win percentage 72% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 65% 68%