Final Score: Heat 105 - Pacers 93
Thursday, May 24, 2012 at 7:00 PM ET

Heat @ Pacers

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Heat
53-23 Rating 1761
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Indiana Pacers +1.4
Pacers
48-28 Rating 1658
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Pacers
All-time wins 42 57
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 94.9 97.2
Last meeting 115 83

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Pacers
Games played 76 76
Avg points scored 98.0 96.8
Avg points conceded 91.5 93.6
Win percentage 70% 63%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 68%