Final Score: Thunder 97 - Heat 103
Tuesday, December 25, 2012 at 7:00 PM ET

Thunder @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Thunder
21-5 Rating 1841
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Miami Heat +3.0
Heat
18-6 Rating 1789
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Thunder Heat
All-time wins 31 22
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 100.6 95.7
Last meeting 106 121

Key Season Stats

Stat Thunder Heat
Games played 26 24
Avg points scored 105.1 103.5
Avg points conceded 96.2 97.4
Win percentage 81% 75%
Away win % / Home win % 70% 87%