Final Score: Spurs 107 - Heat 86
Thursday, June 12, 2014 at 7:00 PM ET

Spurs @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Spurs
76-27 Rating 1916
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: San Antonio Spurs +0.9
Heat
67-33 Rating 1715
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Spurs Heat
All-time wins 40 23
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 97.0 92.2
Last meeting 111 92

Key Season Stats

Stat Spurs Heat
Games played 103 100
Avg points scored 105.6 101.5
Avg points conceded 97.7 96.9
Win percentage 74% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 68% 80%