Final Score: Bucks 103 - Heat 106
Wednesday, November 26, 2025 at 7:30 PM ET

Bucks @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Bucks
8-10 Rating 1429
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
21%
79%
Projected margin: Miami Heat +7.9
Heat
12-6 Rating 1619
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Bucks Heat
All-time wins 63 88
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 100.7 102.0
Last meeting 121 115

Key Season Stats

Stat Bucks Heat
Games played 18 18
Avg points scored 116.5 123.9
Avg points conceded 119.3 117.9
Win percentage 44% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 89%