Final Score: Heat 108 - Mavericks 118
Wednesday, December 3, 2025 at 8:30 PM ET
Heat @ Mavericks
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Heat | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 46 | 44 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 100.4 | 100.0 |
| Last meeting | 106 | 102 |
| Stat | Heat | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 21 | 22 |
| Avg points scored | 124.3 | 111.1 |
| Avg points conceded | 118.4 | 116.1 |
| Win percentage | 67% | 32% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 44% | 31% |
Recent Results
Heat
vs Los Angeles Clippers
Dec 1, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 263
140-123
vs Detroit Pistons
Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 273
135-138
vs Milwaukee Bucks
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 209
106-103
vs Dallas Mavericks
Nov 24, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 208
106-102
@ Philadelphia 76ers
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 244
127-117
@ Chicago Bulls
Nov 21, 2025 · Margin: +36 · Total: 250
143-107
vs Golden State Warriors
Nov 19, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 206
110-96
vs New York Knicks
Nov 17, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 228
115-113
@ New York Knicks
Nov 14, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 272
132-140
vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Nov 12, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 246
116-130
Mavericks
@ Denver Nuggets
Dec 1, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 252
131-121
@ Los Angeles Clippers
Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 224
114-110
@ Los Angeles Lakers
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 248
119-129
@ Miami Heat
Nov 24, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 208
102-106
vs Memphis Grizzlies
Nov 22, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 198
96-102
vs New Orleans Pelicans
Nov 21, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 233
118-115
vs New York Knicks
Nov 19, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 224
111-113
@ Minnesota Timberwolves
Nov 17, 2025 · Margin: -24 · Total: 216
96-120
vs Portland Trail Blazers
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 271
138-133
vs Los Angeles Clippers
Nov 14, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 260
127-133