Final Score: Nuggets 98 - Timberwolves 110
Thursday, April 30, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET
Nuggets @ Timberwolves
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Minnesota Timberwolves +2.5
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Nuggets | Timberwolves |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 102 | 73 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 104.2 | 103.6 |
| Last meeting | 125 | 113 |
| Stat | Nuggets | Timberwolves |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 87 | 87 |
| Avg points scored | 121.3 | 117.7 |
| Avg points conceded | 116.7 | 114.3 |
| Win percentage | 64% | 60% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 60% | 65% |
Recent Results
Nuggets
vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: +12 · Total: 238
125-113
@ Minnesota Timberwolves
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: -16 · Total: 208
96-112
@ Minnesota Timberwolves
Apr 23, 2026 · Margin: -17 · Total: 209
96-113
vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Apr 20, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 233
114-119
vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 221
116-105
@ San Antonio Spurs
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: +10 · Total: 246
128-118
vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: +20 · Total: 234
127-107
vs Memphis Grizzlies
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: +17 · Total: 255
136-119
vs Portland Trail Blazers
Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 269
137-132
vs San Antonio Spurs
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 270
136-134
Timberwolves
@ Denver Nuggets
Apr 27, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 238
113-125
vs Denver Nuggets
Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 208
112-96
vs Denver Nuggets
Apr 23, 2026 · Margin: +17 · Total: 209
113-96
@ Denver Nuggets
Apr 20, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 233
119-114
@ Denver Nuggets
Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 221
105-116
vs New Orleans Pelicans
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 258
132-126
@ Houston Rockets
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 268
136-132
@ Orlando Magic
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: -12 · Total: 252
120-132
@ Indiana Pacers
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: +20 · Total: 228
124-104
vs Charlotte Hornets
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: -14 · Total: 230
108-122