Final Score: Patriots 30 - Broncos 26
Monday, November 3, 2003 at 9:09 PM ET

Patriots @ Broncos

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Patriots
6-2 Rating 1639
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Denver Broncos +1.3
Broncos
5-3 Rating 1568
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Patriots Broncos
All-time wins 4 15
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 16.8 26.5
Last meeting 16 24

Key Season Stats

Stat Patriots Broncos
Games played 8 8
Avg points scored 19.2 23.0
Avg points conceded 16.1 17.6
Win percentage 75% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 100%