Final Score: Patriots 20 - Broncos 28
Sunday, October 16, 2005 at 4:16 PM ET

Patriots @ Broncos

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Patriots
3-2 Rating 1722
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +1.0
Broncos
4-1 Rating 1608
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Patriots Broncos
All-time wins 5 15
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 17.5 26.5
Last meeting 30 26

Key Season Stats

Stat Patriots Broncos
Games played 5 5
Avg points scored 23.6 20.2
Avg points conceded 27.2 17.4
Win percentage 60% 80%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 100%