Final Score: Patriots 31 - Falcons 28
Sunday, October 9, 2005 at 1:05 PM ET
Patriots @ Falcons
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Patriots | Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 4 | 6 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 16.2 | 23.9 |
| Last meeting | 24 | 10 |
| Stat | Patriots | Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 4 | 4 |
| Avg points scored | 21.8 | 21.5 |
| Avg points conceded | 27.0 | 14.2 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 75% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 100% |
Recent Results
Patriots
vs Los Angeles Chargers
Oct 2, 2005 · Margin: -24 · Total: 58
17-41
@ Pittsburgh Steelers
Sep 25, 2005 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
@ Carolina Panthers
Sep 18, 2005 · Margin: -10 · Total: 44
17-27
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Sep 8, 2005 · Margin: +10 · Total: 50
30-20
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Feb 6, 2005 · Margin: +3 · Total: 45
24-21
@ Pittsburgh Steelers
Jan 23, 2005 · Margin: +14 · Total: 68
41-27
vs Indianapolis Colts
Jan 16, 2005 · Margin: +17 · Total: 23
20-3
vs San Francisco 49ers
Jan 2, 2005 · Margin: +14 · Total: 28
21-7
@ New York Jets
Dec 26, 2004 · Margin: +16 · Total: 30
23-7
@ Miami Dolphins
Dec 20, 2004 · Margin: -1 · Total: 57
28-29
Falcons
vs Minnesota Vikings
Oct 2, 2005 · Margin: +20 · Total: 40
30-10
@ Buffalo Bills
Sep 25, 2005 · Margin: +8 · Total: 40
24-16
@ Seattle Seahawks
Sep 18, 2005 · Margin: -3 · Total: 39
18-21
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Sep 12, 2005 · Margin: +4 · Total: 24
14-10
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Jan 23, 2005 · Margin: -17 · Total: 37
10-27
vs Los Angeles Rams
Jan 15, 2005 · Margin: +30 · Total: 64
47-17
@ Seattle Seahawks
Jan 2, 2005 · Margin: -2 · Total: 54
26-28
@ New Orleans Saints
Dec 26, 2004 · Margin: -13 · Total: 39
13-26
vs Carolina Panthers
Dec 18, 2004 · Margin: +3 · Total: 65
34-31
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Dec 12, 2004 · Margin: +25 · Total: 45
35-10