Final Score: Patriots 34 - Colts 38
Sunday, January 21, 2007 at 6:44 PM ET
Patriots @ Colts
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Patriots | Colts |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 43 | 26 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 23.3 | 18.1 |
| Last meeting | 20 | 27 |
| Stat | Patriots | Colts |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 18 | 18 |
| Avg points scored | 24.8 | 25.8 |
| Avg points conceded | 15.2 | 20.8 |
| Win percentage | 78% | 78% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 89% | 100% |
Recent Results
Patriots
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Jan 14, 2007 · Margin: +3 · Total: 45
24-21
vs New York Jets
Jan 7, 2007 · Margin: +21 · Total: 53
37-16
@ Tennessee Titans
Dec 31, 2006 · Margin: +17 · Total: 63
40-23
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
Dec 24, 2006 · Margin: +3 · Total: 45
24-21
vs Houston Texans
Dec 17, 2006 · Margin: +33 · Total: 47
40-7
@ Miami Dolphins
Dec 10, 2006 · Margin: -21 · Total: 21
0-21
vs Detroit Lions
Dec 3, 2006 · Margin: +7 · Total: 49
28-21
vs Chicago Bears
Nov 26, 2006 · Margin: +4 · Total: 30
17-13
@ Green Bay Packers
Nov 19, 2006 · Margin: +35 · Total: 35
35-0
vs New York Jets
Nov 12, 2006 · Margin: -3 · Total: 31
14-17
Colts
@ Baltimore Ravens
Jan 13, 2007 · Margin: +9 · Total: 21
15-6
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Jan 6, 2007 · Margin: +15 · Total: 31
23-8
vs Miami Dolphins
Dec 31, 2006 · Margin: +5 · Total: 49
27-22
@ Houston Texans
Dec 24, 2006 · Margin: -3 · Total: 51
24-27
vs Cincinnati Bengals
Dec 18, 2006 · Margin: +18 · Total: 50
34-16
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
Dec 10, 2006 · Margin: -27 · Total: 61
17-44
@ Tennessee Titans
Dec 3, 2006 · Margin: -3 · Total: 37
17-20
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Nov 26, 2006 · Margin: +24 · Total: 66
45-21
@ Dallas Cowboys
Nov 19, 2006 · Margin: -7 · Total: 35
14-21
vs Buffalo Bills
Nov 12, 2006 · Margin: +1 · Total: 33
17-16