Final Score: Patriots 24 - Chargers 21
Sunday, January 14, 2007 at 4:40 PM ET

Patriots @ Chargers

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Patriots
13-4 Rating 1732
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Chargers +3.8
Chargers
14-2 Rating 1768
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Patriots Chargers
All-time wins 10 3
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 27.8 19.5
Last meeting 17 41

Key Season Stats

Stat Patriots Chargers
Games played 17 16
Avg points scored 24.8 30.8
Avg points conceded 14.9 18.9
Win percentage 76% 88%
Away win % / Home win % 88% 100%