Final Score: Patriots 27 - Texans 34
Sunday, January 3, 2010 at 1:02 PM ET

Patriots @ Texans

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Patriots
10-5 Rating 1711
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
64%
36%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +3.2
Texans
8-7 Rating 1532
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Patriots Texans
All-time wins 2 0
Last 5 meetings 2 0
Average points 31.5 13.5
Last meeting 40 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Patriots Texans
Games played 15 15
Avg points scored 26.7 23.6
Avg points conceded 16.7 20.4
Win percentage 67% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 43%