Final Score: Patriots 41 - Broncos 23
Sunday, December 18, 2011 at 4:16 PM ET

Patriots @ Broncos

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Patriots
10-3 Rating 1763
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
76%
24%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +7.1
Broncos
8-5 Rating 1458
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Patriots Broncos
All-time wins 6 19
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 17.9 25.1
Last meeting 17 20

Key Season Stats

Stat Patriots Broncos
Games played 13 13
Avg points scored 30.5 20.7
Avg points conceded 21.1 23.2
Win percentage 77% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 71% 50%