Final Score: Broncos 10 - Patriots 45
Saturday, January 14, 2012 at 8:15 PM ET
Broncos @ Patriots
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Broncos | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 19 | 7 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 25.0 | 18.8 |
| Last meeting | 23 | 41 |
| Stat | Broncos | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 17 | 16 |
| Avg points scored | 19.9 | 32.1 |
| Avg points conceded | 24.3 | 21.4 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 81% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 62% | 88% |
Recent Results
Broncos
vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Jan 8, 2012 · Margin: +6 · Total: 52
29-23
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Jan 1, 2012 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Buffalo Bills
Dec 24, 2011 · Margin: -26 · Total: 54
14-40
vs New England Patriots
Dec 18, 2011 · Margin: -18 · Total: 64
23-41
vs Chicago Bears
Dec 11, 2011 · Margin: +3 · Total: 23
13-10
@ Minnesota Vikings
Dec 4, 2011 · Margin: +3 · Total: 67
35-32
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Nov 27, 2011 · Margin: +3 · Total: 29
16-13
vs New York Jets
Nov 17, 2011 · Margin: +4 · Total: 30
17-13
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Nov 13, 2011 · Margin: +7 · Total: 27
17-10
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Nov 6, 2011 · Margin: +14 · Total: 62
38-24
Patriots
vs Buffalo Bills
Jan 1, 2012 · Margin: +28 · Total: 70
49-21
vs Miami Dolphins
Dec 24, 2011 · Margin: +3 · Total: 51
27-24
@ Denver Broncos
Dec 18, 2011 · Margin: +18 · Total: 64
41-23
@ Washington Commanders
Dec 11, 2011 · Margin: +7 · Total: 61
34-27
vs Indianapolis Colts
Dec 4, 2011 · Margin: +7 · Total: 55
31-24
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Nov 27, 2011 · Margin: +18 · Total: 58
38-20
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Nov 21, 2011 · Margin: +31 · Total: 37
34-3
@ New York Jets
Nov 13, 2011 · Margin: +21 · Total: 53
37-16
vs New York Giants
Nov 6, 2011 · Margin: -4 · Total: 44
20-24
@ Pittsburgh Steelers
Oct 30, 2011 · Margin: -8 · Total: 42
17-25