Final Score: Patriots 23 - Bills 35
Sunday, January 8, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
Patriots @ Bills
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Patriots | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 65 | 40 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 22.3 | 18.7 |
| Last meeting | 10 | 24 |
| Stat | Patriots | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 16 | 15 |
| Avg points scored | 21.3 | 28.0 |
| Avg points conceded | 19.5 | 17.5 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 80% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 86% |
Recent Results
Patriots
vs Miami Dolphins
Jan 1, 2023 · Margin: +2 · Total: 44
23-21
vs Cincinnati Bengals
Dec 24, 2022 · Margin: -4 · Total: 40
18-22
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Dec 18, 2022 · Margin: -6 · Total: 54
24-30
@ Arizona Cardinals
Dec 12, 2022 · Margin: +14 · Total: 40
27-13
vs Buffalo Bills
Dec 1, 2022 · Margin: -14 · Total: 34
10-24
@ Minnesota Vikings
Nov 24, 2022 · Margin: -7 · Total: 59
26-33
vs New York Jets
Nov 20, 2022 · Margin: +7 · Total: 13
10-3
vs Indianapolis Colts
Nov 6, 2022 · Margin: +23 · Total: 29
26-3
@ New York Jets
Oct 30, 2022 · Margin: +5 · Total: 39
22-17
vs Chicago Bears
Oct 24, 2022 · Margin: -19 · Total: 47
14-33
Bills
@ Chicago Bears
Dec 24, 2022 · Margin: +22 · Total: 48
35-13
vs Miami Dolphins
Dec 17, 2022 · Margin: +3 · Total: 61
32-29
vs New York Jets
Dec 11, 2022 · Margin: +8 · Total: 32
20-12
@ New England Patriots
Dec 1, 2022 · Margin: +14 · Total: 34
24-10
@ Detroit Lions
Nov 24, 2022 · Margin: +3 · Total: 53
28-25
vs Cleveland Browns
Nov 20, 2022 · Margin: +8 · Total: 54
31-23
vs Minnesota Vikings
Nov 13, 2022 · Margin: -3 · Total: 63
30-33
@ New York Jets
Nov 6, 2022 · Margin: -3 · Total: 37
17-20
vs Green Bay Packers
Oct 30, 2022 · Margin: +10 · Total: 44
27-17
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Oct 16, 2022 · Margin: +4 · Total: 44
24-20