Final Score: Dolphins 20 - Bills 48
Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
Dolphins @ Bills
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Dolphins | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 59 | 52 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 21.8 | 20.6 |
| Last meeting | 31 | 34 |
| Stat | Dolphins | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 3 | 3 |
| Avg points scored | 43.3 | 30.3 |
| Avg points conceded | 23.7 | 11.7 |
| Win percentage | 100% | 67% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 100% | 100% |
Recent Results
Dolphins
vs Denver Broncos
Sep 24, 2023 · Margin: +50 · Total: 90
70-20
@ New England Patriots
Sep 17, 2023 · Margin: +7 · Total: 41
24-17
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Sep 10, 2023 · Margin: +2 · Total: 70
36-34
@ Buffalo Bills
Jan 15, 2023 · Margin: -3 · Total: 65
31-34
vs New York Jets
Jan 8, 2023 · Margin: +5 · Total: 17
11-6
@ New England Patriots
Jan 1, 2023 · Margin: -2 · Total: 44
21-23
vs Green Bay Packers
Dec 25, 2022 · Margin: -6 · Total: 46
20-26
@ Buffalo Bills
Dec 17, 2022 · Margin: -3 · Total: 61
29-32
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Dec 11, 2022 · Margin: -6 · Total: 40
17-23
@ San Francisco 49ers
Dec 4, 2022 · Margin: -16 · Total: 50
17-33
Bills
@ Washington Commanders
Sep 24, 2023 · Margin: +34 · Total: 40
37-3
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Sep 17, 2023 · Margin: +28 · Total: 48
38-10
@ New York Jets
Sep 11, 2023 · Margin: -6 · Total: 38
16-22
vs Cincinnati Bengals
Jan 22, 2023 · Margin: -17 · Total: 37
10-27
vs Miami Dolphins
Jan 15, 2023 · Margin: +3 · Total: 65
34-31
vs New England Patriots
Jan 8, 2023 · Margin: +12 · Total: 58
35-23
@ Chicago Bears
Dec 24, 2022 · Margin: +22 · Total: 48
35-13
vs Miami Dolphins
Dec 17, 2022 · Margin: +3 · Total: 61
32-29
vs New York Jets
Dec 11, 2022 · Margin: +8 · Total: 32
20-12
@ New England Patriots
Dec 1, 2022 · Margin: +14 · Total: 34
24-10