Final Score: Patriots 3 - Cowboys 38
Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 4:25 PM ET
Patriots @ Cowboys
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Patriots | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 6 | 8 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average points | 20.6 | 20.3 |
| Last meeting | 29 | 35 |
| Stat | Patriots | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 3 | 3 |
| Avg points scored | 17.3 | 28.7 |
| Avg points conceded | 19.7 | 12.7 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 67% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 100% | 100% |
Recent Results
Patriots
@ New York Jets
Sep 24, 2023 · Margin: +5 · Total: 25
15-10
vs Miami Dolphins
Sep 17, 2023 · Margin: -7 · Total: 41
17-24
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Sep 10, 2023 · Margin: -5 · Total: 45
20-25
@ Buffalo Bills
Jan 8, 2023 · Margin: -12 · Total: 58
23-35
vs Miami Dolphins
Jan 1, 2023 · Margin: +2 · Total: 44
23-21
vs Cincinnati Bengals
Dec 24, 2022 · Margin: -4 · Total: 40
18-22
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Dec 18, 2022 · Margin: -6 · Total: 54
24-30
@ Arizona Cardinals
Dec 12, 2022 · Margin: +14 · Total: 40
27-13
vs Buffalo Bills
Dec 1, 2022 · Margin: -14 · Total: 34
10-24
@ Minnesota Vikings
Nov 24, 2022 · Margin: -7 · Total: 59
26-33
Cowboys
@ Arizona Cardinals
Sep 24, 2023 · Margin: -12 · Total: 44
16-28
vs New York Jets
Sep 17, 2023 · Margin: +20 · Total: 40
30-10
@ New York Giants
Sep 10, 2023 · Margin: +40 · Total: 40
40-0
@ San Francisco 49ers
Jan 22, 2023 · Margin: -7 · Total: 31
12-19
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jan 16, 2023 · Margin: +17 · Total: 45
31-14
@ Washington Commanders
Jan 8, 2023 · Margin: -20 · Total: 32
6-26
@ Tennessee Titans
Dec 29, 2022 · Margin: +14 · Total: 40
27-13
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Dec 24, 2022 · Margin: +6 · Total: 74
40-34
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
Dec 18, 2022 · Margin: -6 · Total: 74
34-40
vs Houston Texans
Dec 11, 2022 · Margin: +4 · Total: 50
27-23