Final Score: Chiefs 27 - Bills 24
Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 6:30 PM ET
Chiefs @ Bills
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Chiefs | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 15 | 20 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 18.6 | 22.2 |
| Last meeting | 17 | 20 |
| Stat | Chiefs | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 18 | 18 |
| Avg points scored | 22.1 | 26.8 |
| Avg points conceded | 16.7 | 18.2 |
| Win percentage | 67% | 67% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 75% | 80% |
Recent Results
Chiefs
vs Miami Dolphins
Jan 13, 2024 · Margin: +19 · Total: 33
26-7
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Jan 7, 2024 · Margin: +1 · Total: 25
13-12
vs Cincinnati Bengals
Dec 31, 2023 · Margin: +8 · Total: 42
25-17
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Dec 25, 2023 · Margin: -6 · Total: 34
14-20
@ New England Patriots
Dec 17, 2023 · Margin: +10 · Total: 44
27-17
vs Buffalo Bills
Dec 10, 2023 · Margin: -3 · Total: 37
17-20
@ Green Bay Packers
Dec 3, 2023 · Margin: -8 · Total: 46
19-27
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Nov 26, 2023 · Margin: +14 · Total: 48
31-17
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Nov 20, 2023 · Margin: -4 · Total: 38
17-21
vs Miami Dolphins
Nov 5, 2023 · Margin: +7 · Total: 35
21-14
Bills
vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Jan 15, 2024 · Margin: +14 · Total: 48
31-17
@ Miami Dolphins
Jan 7, 2024 · Margin: +7 · Total: 35
21-14
vs New England Patriots
Dec 31, 2023 · Margin: +6 · Total: 48
27-21
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Dec 23, 2023 · Margin: +2 · Total: 46
24-22
vs Dallas Cowboys
Dec 17, 2023 · Margin: +21 · Total: 41
31-10
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Dec 10, 2023 · Margin: +3 · Total: 37
20-17
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Nov 26, 2023 · Margin: -3 · Total: 71
34-37
vs New York Jets
Nov 19, 2023 · Margin: +26 · Total: 38
32-6
vs Denver Broncos
Nov 13, 2023 · Margin: -2 · Total: 46
22-24
@ Cincinnati Bengals
Nov 5, 2023 · Margin: -6 · Total: 42
18-24